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Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 21, 2021 at 8pm UK
RZD Arena
G

Lokomotiv
0 - 1
Galatasaray


Barinov (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Akturkoglu (82')
Babel (36'), Antalyali (44'), Mohamed (73'), Morutan (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawGalatasaray
40.42%28.15%31.42%
Both teams to score 46.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.62%59.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.24%79.76%
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22%28.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.38%64.62%
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.46%34.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.74%71.26%
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 40.42%
    Galatasaray 31.42%
    Draw 28.15%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawGalatasaray
1-0 @ 12.38%
2-1 @ 8.2%
2-0 @ 7.71%
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 1.81%
4-1 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 40.42%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 9.94%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 10.56%
1-2 @ 7%
0-2 @ 5.62%
1-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 31.42%

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