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LM
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 16, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
RZD Arena
M

Lokomotiv
1 - 1
Marseille

Anjorin (89')
Beka Beka (22'), Tiknizyan (34')
Tiknizyan (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Under (59' pen.)
Kamara (37'), Rongier (62')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawMarseille
41.92%24.14%33.94%
Both teams to score 60.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.95%42.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.55%64.45%
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.75%20.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.41%52.59%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71%24.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.33%58.67%
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 41.92%
    Marseille 33.94%
    Draw 24.13%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 8.88%
1-0 @ 7.86%
2-0 @ 6.27%
3-1 @ 4.73%
3-2 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 3.34%
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-2 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 41.92%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 6.28%
0-0 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.13%
1-2 @ 7.87%
0-1 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 4.92%
1-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 2.96%
0-3 @ 2.32%
1-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 33.94%

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