Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
