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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 3, 2021 at 5pm UK
Lokomotiv Stadium

Lokomotiv
1 - 2
Rostov

Maradishvili (9')
Pablo (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kerk (31' og.), Poloz (88')
Almqvist (68'), Bayramyan (70'), Pesyakov (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawRostov
41.01%25.93%33.06%
Both teams to score 53.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.65%50.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.71%72.29%
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.72%24.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.36%58.64%
Rostov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18%28.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.32%64.67%
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 41.01%
    Rostov 33.06%
    Draw 25.93%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawRostov
1-0 @ 9.9%
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 7.01%
3-1 @ 4.12%
3-0 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.17%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 41.01%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 6.99%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.7%
1-2 @ 7.67%
0-2 @ 5.41%
1-3 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 33.06%

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