Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.