Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.