Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for Nice had a probability of 14.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 23.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.33%) and 2-1 (6.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (20%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.