Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.34%). The likeliest PAOK win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.