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Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 5, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
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PAOK
4 - 1
PSV

Schwab (47'), Zivkovic (56', 66'), Tzolis (58')
Douglas (18'), Schwab (20')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zahavi (21' pen.)
Sangare (77')
Coverage of the Europa League Group Stage clash between PAOK and PSV Eindhoven.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.34%). The likeliest PAOK win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
PAOKDrawPSV Eindhoven
36.51%23.06%40.43%
Both teams to score 64.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.72%36.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.6%58.4%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72%20.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.35%52.65%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52%18.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.31%49.69%
Score Analysis
    PAOK 36.51%
    PSV Eindhoven 40.43%
    Draw 23.06%
PAOKDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.06%
1-0 @ 5.98%
2-0 @ 4.77%
3-1 @ 4.28%
3-2 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 36.51%
1-1 @ 10.09%
2-2 @ 6.8%
0-0 @ 3.75%
3-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.06%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-1 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 5.34%
1-3 @ 4.8%
2-3 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 3.01%
1-4 @ 2.03%
2-4 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 40.43%


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