Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Granada had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.