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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Petrocub Hincesti win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Petrocub Hincesti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.92%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Petrocub Hincesti would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Petrocub Hincesti | Draw | The New Saints |
43.7% ( -0.71) | 22.37% ( -0.06) | 33.93% ( 0.78) |
| Both teams to score 67.04% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.66% ( 0.59) | 33.34% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.89% ( 0.67) | 55.11% ( -0.67) |
| Petrocub Hincesti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.04% ( -0.03) | 15.96% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.75% ( -0.06) | 45.25% ( 0.07) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.78% ( 0.68) | 20.22% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.46% ( 1.07) | 52.55% ( -1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Petrocub Hincesti | Draw | The New Saints |
| 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.06)4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.83% Total : 43.7% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.07)3-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.93% |
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