Molde lost all three of their away games in Champions League qualifying, and we think that trend could continue into Thursday's fixture when they face a Qarabag side who have avoided defeat in their last 12 UEFA home games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.

Result
Qarabag FK	Draw	Molde
30.3% ( -0)	24.6%	45.1% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.2% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.45% (

45.55% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.13% (

67.87% (

-0)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.75% (

-0)

28.25% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.04%

63.96% (

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.71% (

0.01)

20.29% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.35% (

0.01)

52.65% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Qarabag FK 30.3%

Molde 45.1%

Draw 24.59%

Qarabag FK	Draw	Molde
2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.73% Total : 30.3%	1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.59%	1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.9% 0-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.84% Total : 45.1%