SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Galatasaray |
47.06% ( 0.03) | 23.43% ( -0.01) | 29.51% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.78% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.38% ( 0.04) | 40.62% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.99% ( 0.04) | 63% ( -0.03) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.47% ( 0.03) | 17.53% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.95% ( 0.04) | 48.05% ( -0.04) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.69% ( 0.01) | 26.31% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.57% ( 0.01) | 61.43% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 3.9% Total : 47.06% | 1-1 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.51% |
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