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Q
Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 5pm UK
Baki Olimpiya Stadionu
NO

Qarabag
1 - 1
Ljubljana

Bayramov (24' pen.)
Mustafazada (29'), Jankovic (45+3'), Zoubir (63'), Richard (63'), Andrade (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pinto (36')
Motika (28'), Pedro (42'), Doffo (45+1'), Lasickas (81'), Bristric (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ljubljana 0-2 Qarabag
Thursday, August 24 at 7pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ljubljana 2-4 Celje
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

We said: Qarabag FK 2-2 NK Olimpija Ljubljana (Qarabag FK to win 4-2 on aggregate)

Given that Ljubljana must throw everything at Qarabag on Thursday, we can see the visitors causing plenty of problems in Baku, but the hosts will likely advance thanks to their efforts in the first leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 62.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Qarabag FKDrawNK Olimpija Ljubljana
62.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 20.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 16.33% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 51.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.51% (0.0039999999999978 0)44.49% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.14% (0.0039999999999978 0)66.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.43% (0.0040000000000049 0)13.57% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)40.67% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.63% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)40.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.01% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)76.98% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Qarabag FK 62.74%
    NK Olimpija Ljubljana 16.33%
    Draw 20.91%
Qarabag FKDrawNK Olimpija Ljubljana
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.92%
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 7.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 3.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.5%
5-0 @ 1.45%
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 62.74%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-0 @ 5.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.5%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.91%
0-1 @ 4.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.36%
2-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 16.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ljubljana 0-2 Qarabag
Thursday, August 24 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-2 Qarabag
Thursday, August 17 at 5pm in Europa League
Last Game: Qarabag 2-1 HJK Helsinki
Thursday, August 10 at 5pm in Europa League
Last Game: Qarabag 1-1 Rakow
Wednesday, August 2 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rakow 3-2 Qarabag
Wednesday, July 26 at 7.15pm in Champions League
Last Game: Qarabag 4-0 Lincoln
Wednesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Ljubljana 2-4 Celje
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: Ljubljana 0-2 Qarabag
Thursday, August 24 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Aluminij 4-5 Ljubljana
Saturday, August 19 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Ljubljana
Tuesday, August 15 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Ljubljana 2-1 Domzale
Saturday, August 12 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: Ljubljana 0-3 Galatasaray
Tuesday, August 8 at 8pm in Champions League


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