Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 54.65%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
