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Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 4, 2021 at 8pm UK
Red Star Stadium
M

Red Star
0 - 1
Midtjylland


Katai (6'), Pavkov (38'), Fardou Ben (45'), Gobeljic (55')
Degenek (12'), Gobeljic (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kanga (56' og.)
Charles (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Red Star BelgradeDrawFC Midtjylland
42.22%23.52%34.25%
Both teams to score 62.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.01%38.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.69%61.31%
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.15%18.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.7%50.29%
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31%22.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.66%56.33%
Score Analysis
    Red Star Belgrade 42.22%
    FC Midtjylland 34.25%
    Draw 23.52%
Red Star BelgradeDrawFC Midtjylland
2-1 @ 8.83%
1-0 @ 7.13%
2-0 @ 5.95%
3-1 @ 4.91%
3-2 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.05%
4-2 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 42.22%
1-1 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 6.55%
0-0 @ 4.27%
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 7.85%
0-1 @ 6.34%
0-2 @ 4.7%
1-3 @ 3.88%
2-3 @ 3.24%
0-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.44%
2-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 34.25%

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