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B
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 30, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
M

Braga
3 - 1
Midtjylland

Galeno (55' pen., 90+5'), Horta (62')
Leite (18'), Sa (24'), Oliveira (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Evander (19' pen.)
Sviatchenko (27'), Henriksen (32'), Rafn Olafsson (33'), Juninho (55'), Evander (80')
Juninho (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawFC Midtjylland
42.27%24.01%33.73%
Both teams to score 60.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.52%41.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.12%63.88%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.14%19.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.04%51.96%
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86%24.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.54%58.46%
Score Analysis
    Braga 42.27%
    FC Midtjylland 33.73%
    Draw 24%
BragaDrawFC Midtjylland
2-1 @ 8.9%
1-0 @ 7.75%
2-0 @ 6.27%
3-1 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 3.41%
3-0 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-2 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 42.27%
1-1 @ 11.01%
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 4.8%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-1 @ 6.81%
0-2 @ 4.84%
1-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.29%
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 33.73%

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