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Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 5, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadion Rajko Mitić
G

Red Star
2 - 1
Gent

Kanga (12'), Katai (59')
Sanogo (45+1'), Milunovic (45+2'), Katai (84'), Gobeljic (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Odjidja-Ofoe (31')
Mohammadi (24'), Bukari (48')
Coverage of the Europa League Group Stage clash between Red Star Belgrade and Gent.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Gent had a probability of 22.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Gent win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.

Result
Red Star BelgradeDrawGent
51.8%25.21%22.99%
Both teams to score 49.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.75%53.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.19%74.8%
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.44%20.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91%53.08%
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.81%38.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05%74.95%
Score Analysis
    Red Star Belgrade 51.8%
    Gent 22.99%
    Draw 25.2%
Red Star BelgradeDrawGent
1-0 @ 12.42%
2-0 @ 9.82%
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 5.18%
3-1 @ 4.99%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-0 @ 2.05%
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 51.8%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 7.85%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.56%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.64%
1-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 22.99%


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