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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Jul 15, 2020 at 5pm UK
Donbass Arena
K

Shakhtar
2 - 0
Kovalivka

Cipriano (49'), Moraes (90+4')
Khotcholava (70'), Moraes (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Antyukh (60'), Sorokin (78')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Kolos Kovalivka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 68.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Shakhtar Donetsk in this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawKolos Kovalivka
68.09%19.11%12.8%
Both teams to score 48.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.05%43.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.67%66.33%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.13%11.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.82%37.18%
Kolos Kovalivka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.96%45.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.03%80.97%
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 68.08%
    Kolos Kovalivka 12.8%
    Draw 19.11%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawKolos Kovalivka
2-0 @ 12.14%
1-0 @ 11.39%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 8.63%
3-1 @ 6.88%
4-0 @ 4.6%
4-1 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 2.74%
5-0 @ 1.96%
5-1 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 68.08%
1-1 @ 9.09%
0-0 @ 5.35%
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.11%
0-1 @ 4.27%
1-2 @ 3.63%
0-2 @ 1.7%
2-3 @ 1.03%
1-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 12.8%


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