Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sivasspor would win this match.