Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 72.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 7.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (18.26%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.49%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.