SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 66.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Minai had a probability of 12.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.52%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Minai win it was 1-0 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minai | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
12.85% ( -0.05) | 21.14% ( -0.06) | 66.01% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 42.4% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.8% ( 0.12) | 52.2% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.09% ( 0.11) | 73.91% ( -0.1) |
| Minai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.9% ( -0.01) | 50.09% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.28% ( -0.01) | 84.72% ( 0.01) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.96% ( 0.08) | 15.04% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.47% ( 0.15) | 43.53% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minai | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 12.85% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.14% | 0-1 @ 14.27% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 13.52% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0)0-3 @ 8.54% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.9% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 4.04% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 66.01% |
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