SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
30.38% ( 0.24) | 26.29% ( 0.06) | 43.33% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 51.71% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.29% ( -0.15) | 52.71% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.65% ( -0.13) | 74.35% ( 0.13) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% ( 0.09) | 31.82% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.74% ( 0.11) | 68.26% ( -0.11) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( -0.22) | 24.16% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.52% ( -0.31) | 58.47% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.38% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 10.92% 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.68% Total : 43.33% |
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