Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
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