SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 81.49%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 6.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.27%) and 1-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Gaziantep |
81.49% ( -0.59) | 12.2% ( 0.33) | 6.3% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 46.47% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.09% ( -0.56) | 31.91% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.54% ( -0.66) | 53.46% ( 0.65) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.08% ( -0.22) | 5.91% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.37% ( -0.62) | 22.63% ( 0.62) |
| Gaziantep Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.4% ( 0.35) | 50.6% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.93% ( 0.24) | 85.07% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Gaziantep |
| 2-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.11)1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.16)5-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.88% Total : 81.48% | 1-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.67% Total : 12.2% | 0-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.3% Total : 6.3% |
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