Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
