Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 50.41%. A win for Ventspils had a probability of 24.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Ventspils win was 1-0 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.