Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 68.92%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 13.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for an Aalesund win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.