SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Alaves |
| 62.04% | 22.36% | 15.59% |
| Both teams to score 45.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.25% | 51.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.48% | 73.51% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.81% | 16.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.34% | 45.66% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.29% | 45.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.5% | 81.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 13.47% 2-0 @ 12.26% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 5.83% 4-0 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.28% 5-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.04% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.86% Total : 62.03% | 1-1 @ 10.54% 0-0 @ 7.4% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.65% Total : 22.35% | 0-1 @ 5.79% 1-2 @ 4.13% 0-2 @ 2.27% 1-3 @ 1.08% 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.35% Total : 15.59% |
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