Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 65.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 14.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
