SM
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 12.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| North Macedonia | Draw | Faroe Islands |
67.12% ( 0.71) | 20.09% ( -0.29) | 12.78% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 45.27% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.82% ( 0.3) | 48.17% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.67% ( 0.27) | 70.33% ( -0.28) |
| North Macedonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.58% ( 0.31) | 13.41% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.64% ( 0.61) | 40.36% ( -0.61) |
| Faroe Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.28% ( -0.48) | 47.72% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.98% ( -0.36) | 83.02% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| North Macedonia | Draw | Faroe Islands |
| 2-0 @ 12.91% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 12.85% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 67.11% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.09% | 0-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.78% Total : 12.78% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
