Despite their defensive absentees, Portugal can still field a menacing-looking rearguard, and Santos's side should win the midfield battle with ease given the hosts' woes in that area. Knowing that defeat could spell the end of their Nations League run, the Selecao should still be able to grind out a narrow triumph before a crucial final-day showdown with Spain. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 43.81%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Czech Republic had a probability of 28.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Czech Republic win it was 1-0 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
Czech Republic	Draw	Portugal
28.06% ( 0.05)	28.13% ( 0.05)	43.81% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 45.22% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.59% (

-0.15)

60.41% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.45% (

-0.11)

80.55% (

0.11)

Czech Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.3% (

-0.04)

37.7% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.52% (

-0.04)

74.47% (

0.04)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.58% (

-0.13)

27.41% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.1% (

-0.16)

62.89% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Czech Republic 28.06%

Portugal 43.81%

Draw 28.11%

Czech Republic	Draw	Portugal
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.36% 2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 28.06%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.11%	0-1 @ 13.37% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 43.81%