SM
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Faroe Islands win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lithuania | Draw | Faroe Islands |
41.07% ( 0.02) | 26.45% ( -0.09) | 32.48% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.03% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.33% ( 0.38) | 52.67% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.69% ( 0.32) | 74.31% ( -0.32) |
| Lithuania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.71% ( 0.18) | 25.28% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.94% ( 0.24) | 60.05% ( -0.25) |
| Faroe Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% ( 0.23) | 30.35% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.46% ( 0.28) | 66.54% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lithuania | Draw | Faroe Islands |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 41.06% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.48% |
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