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Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
FI

Moldova
1 - 1
Faroe Islands

Nicolaescu (87' pen.)
Craciun (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mikkelsen (27')
Vatnhamar (50'), Rolantsson (78'), Mneney (84'), Lamhauge (86'), Vatnsdal (86'), Mohr Jonsson (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Moldova 0-5 Romania
Sunday, November 20 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Kosovo 1-1 Faroe Islands
Saturday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Moldova 1-1 Faroe Islands

Moldova will relish their home advantage on Friday night but have not been in the best form of late, meaning three points are by no means a formality. Faroe Islands have lofty ambitions as a footballing nation and should be good enough to earn a point on their travels to kick-start their quest for Euro 2024 qualification. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Faroe Islands win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MoldovaDrawFaroe Islands
40.47% (0.10400000000001 0.1) 27.91% (0.093999999999998 0.09) 31.62% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 47.38% (-0.326 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.54% (-0.381 -0.38)58.46% (0.38200000000001 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.95% (-0.297 -0.3)79.05% (0.298 0.3)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.69% (-0.123 -0.12)28.31% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.97% (-0.158 -0.16)64.03% (0.159 0.16)
Faroe Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (-0.339 -0.34)33.92% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (-0.369 -0.37)70.59% (0.37 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Moldova 40.46%
    Faroe Islands 31.62%
    Draw 27.91%
MoldovaDrawFaroe Islands
1-0 @ 12.11% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 40.46%
1-1 @ 13.1% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.6% (0.138 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 10.38% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 31.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Moldova 0-5 Romania
Sunday, November 20 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Moldova 1-2 Azerbaijan
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Moldova 2-0 Liechtenstein
Sunday, September 25 at 2pm in Nations League
Last Game: Latvia 1-2 Moldova
Thursday, September 22 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Moldova 2-1 Andorra
Tuesday, June 14 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Moldova 2-4 Latvia
Friday, June 10 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Kosovo 1-1 Faroe Islands
Saturday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Czech Republic 5-0 Faroe Islands
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Faroe Islands 2-1 Turkey
Sunday, September 25 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Lithuania 1-1 Faroe Islands
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Luxembourg 2-2 Faroe Islands
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Faroe Islands 2-1 Lithuania
Saturday, June 11 at 5pm in Nations League


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