Iceland
2 - 1
Romania

Sigurdsson (16', 35')
Sigurdsson (62')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Maxim (62' pen.)
Maxim (36')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro qualifying Path A playoff semi final between Iceland and Romania, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Iceland win it was 1-0 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Iceland	Draw	Romania
24.72%	26.94%	48.34%

Both teams to score 46.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.81%

58.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.16%

78.84%

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.66%

39.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.95%

76.05%

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.85%

24.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.53%

58.47%

Score Analysis

Iceland 24.72%

Romania 48.34%

Draw 26.93%

Iceland	Draw	Romania
1-0 @ 8.86% 2-1 @ 5.87% 2-0 @ 4.13% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.3% 3-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.44% Total : 24.72%	1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 9.5% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.93%	0-1 @ 13.5% 0-2 @ 9.59% 1-2 @ 8.95% 0-3 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 4.24% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-4 @ 1.61% 1-4 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.43% Total : 48.34%