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AN
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 13, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
NM

Austria
3 - 1
N. Macedonia

Lainer (18'), Gregoritsch (78'), Arnautovic (89')
Lainer (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pandev (28')
Trajkovski (42'), Alioski (52')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for North Macedonia had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest North Macedonia win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.

Result
AustriaDrawNorth Macedonia
49.89%23.7%26.42%
Both teams to score 57.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.01%43.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.63%66.37%
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27%17.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.6%48.4%
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77%30.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6%66.39%
Score Analysis
    Austria 49.89%
    North Macedonia 26.42%
    Draw 23.69%
AustriaDrawNorth Macedonia
2-1 @ 9.6%
1-0 @ 9.27%
2-0 @ 8.02%
3-1 @ 5.53%
3-0 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.39%
4-0 @ 2%
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 49.89%
1-1 @ 11.09%
2-2 @ 5.74%
0-0 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 6.64%
0-1 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 3.84%
1-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 26.42%

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