Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.