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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
NM

Germany
1 - 2
N. Macedonia

Gundogan (63' pen.)
Gosens (28'), Rudiger (37'), Sane (46'), Musiala (89'), Can (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pandev (45+2'), Elmas (85')
Velkovski (5'), Elmas (67'), Pandev (77'), Angelovski (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 66.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 10.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.75%) and 3-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.21%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
GermanyDrawNorth Macedonia
66.02%23.11%10.87%
Both teams to score 32.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.4%62.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.83%82.17%
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.29%18.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.92%50.08%
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.07%59.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.38%90.62%
Score Analysis
    Germany 66.01%
    North Macedonia 10.87%
    Draw 23.11%
GermanyDrawNorth Macedonia
1-0 @ 18.79%
2-0 @ 15.75%
3-0 @ 8.8%
2-1 @ 8.06%
3-1 @ 4.51%
4-0 @ 3.69%
4-1 @ 1.89%
5-0 @ 1.24%
3-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 66.01%
0-0 @ 11.21%
1-1 @ 9.62%
2-2 @ 2.06%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.11%
0-1 @ 5.74%
1-2 @ 2.46%
0-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 10.87%

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