Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 66.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 10.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.75%) and 3-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.21%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.