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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Hampden Park
AN

Scotland
2 - 2
Austria

Hanley (71'), McGinn (85')
Hanley (14'), Christie (24'), Dykes (49'), O'Donnell (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kalajdzic (55', 80')
Kalajdzic (62'), Grillitsch (70'), Ilsanker (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.53%) and 1-3 (5.09%). The likeliest Scotland win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
ScotlandDrawAustria
36%22.26%41.74%
Both teams to score 68.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.76%32.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.15%53.85%
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.29%18.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.92%50.07%
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.72%16.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.18%45.82%
Score Analysis
    Scotland 36%
    Austria 41.74%
    Draw 22.26%
ScotlandDrawAustria
2-1 @ 7.77%
1-0 @ 5.1%
3-1 @ 4.34%
2-0 @ 4.28%
3-2 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1%
4-3 @ 1%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 36%
1-1 @ 9.27%
2-2 @ 7.05%
0-0 @ 3.05%
3-3 @ 2.38%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 22.26%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-1 @ 5.53%
1-3 @ 5.09%
0-2 @ 5.02%
2-3 @ 4.27%
0-3 @ 3.04%
1-4 @ 2.31%
2-4 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.38%
3-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 41.74%

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