Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Czech Republic had a probability of 38.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.37%) and 3-1 (4.73%). The likeliest Czech Republic win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
