SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 61.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Croatia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Croatia | Draw | Cyprus |
| 61.52% | 21.4% | 17.08% |
| Both teams to score 51.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.72% | 45.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.38% | 67.62% |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.8% | 14.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.09% | 41.91% |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.09% | 39.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.43% | 76.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Croatia | Draw | Cyprus |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% 2-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 6.45% 4-0 @ 3.43% 4-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-2 @ 1.45% 5-0 @ 1.34% 5-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.71% Total : 61.51% | 1-1 @ 10.16% 0-0 @ 5.67% 2-2 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.4% | 0-1 @ 5.21% 1-2 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.39% 1-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2% Total : 17.08% |
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