Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 61.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Croatia in this match.
