While Germany's display versus Switzerland in the final group game left a lot to be desired, Nagelsmann's men could be forgiven for easing off a tad with their last-16 place already sealed, and we ought to see a rejuvenated Mannschaft side at the Signal Iduna Park. Denmark have made a habit of keeping games close at Euro 2024, but even a rejigged German backline should not have much trouble repelling the Scandinavians' often futile attacks, and we can only envisage Nagelsmann's men marching onto the last eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Germany win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Denmark has a probability of 33.87% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Denmark win is 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.84%).

Result
Germany	Draw	Denmark
40.99%	25.14%	33.87%

Both teams to score 56.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.3%

46.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.04%

68.97%

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.32%

22.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.67%

56.33%

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.46%

26.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.25%

61.75%

Score Analysis

Germany 40.99%

Denmark 33.87%

Draw 25.13%

Germany	Draw	Denmark
1-0 @ 8.93% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.99%	1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 5.3% 1-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.87%