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DN
Friendlies 1
Jun 5, 2024 at 6pm UK
Parken
SN

Denmark
2 - 1
Sweden

Hojbjerg (2'), Eriksen (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Isak (9')
Isak (38'), Cajuste (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Denmark 2-0 Faroe Islands
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.15pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 1-0 Albania
Monday, March 25 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium81820
2Austria81019
3Sweden8210
4Azerbaijan8-107
5Estonia8-201

We said: Denmark 2-1 Sweden

Sweden's shoddy Euro 2024 qualifying performance says little about the individual quality of Tomasson's troops - especially in the final third - and the visitors can play with the handbrake off against their near neighbours. As such, Denmark's remarkable streak of clean sheets in friendly home games may cease to exist by the close of play on Wednesday, but Hjulmand's men should strike back themselves to edge it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 74.64%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 10.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Sweden win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Denmark in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Denmark.

Result
DenmarkDrawSweden
74.64% (0.145 0.14) 15.34% (-0.084 -0.08) 10.02% (-0.057 -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.35% (0.245 0.25)33.65% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.53% (0.276 0.28)55.47% (-0.272 -0.27)
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.38% (0.088999999999999 0.09)7.63% (-0.085100000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.75% (0.22199999999999 0.22)27.25% (-0.218 -0.22)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.96% (0.061 0.06)43.04% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.68% (0.051000000000002 0.05)79.32% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Denmark 74.63%
    Sweden 10.02%
    Draw 15.34%
DenmarkDrawSweden
2-0 @ 10.86% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 9.32% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.45% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.86% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 6% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 5.06% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.09% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.6% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.017 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.33% (0.018 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.12% (0.017 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.1% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 74.63%
1-1 @ 7.12% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-0 @ 3.28% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 15.34%
1-2 @ 3% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-1 @ 2.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 10.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Denmark 2-0 Faroe Islands
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.15pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Denmark 0-0 Switzerland
Saturday, March 23 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: N. Ireland 2-0 Denmark
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Denmark 2-1 Slovenia
Friday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: San Marino 1-2 Denmark
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Denmark 3-1 Kazakhstan
Saturday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Sweden 1-0 Albania
Monday, March 25 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Portugal 5-2 Sweden
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 2-1 Estonia
Friday, January 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 2-0 Estonia
Sunday, November 19 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Azerbaijan 3-0 Sweden
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Belgium 1-1 Sweden
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying


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