Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | France | 8 | 26 | 22 |
2 | Netherlands | 8 | 10 | 18 |
3 | Greece | 8 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
5 | Gibraltar | 8 | -41 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Germany had a probability of 19.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 0-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Germany win it was 2-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Germany in this match.
Result | ||
Germany | Draw | Netherlands |
19.61% (![]() | 20.04% (![]() | 60.36% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.29% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.21% (![]() | 34.8% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.24% (![]() | 56.76% (![]() |
Germany Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.07% (![]() | 30.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.77% (![]() | 67.23% (![]() |
Netherlands Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.75% (![]() | 11.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.17% (![]() | 35.84% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Germany | Draw | Netherlands |
2-1 @ 5.23% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.08% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.67% Total : 19.61% | 1-1 @ 8.92% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.72% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.04% | 1-2 @ 9.75% (![]() 0-2 @ 8.31% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 7.61% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.1% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.81% Total : 60.36% |
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