SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 8 | 26 | 22 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Greece | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | -41 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Germany had a probability of 19.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 0-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Germany win it was 2-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Germany in this match.
| Result | ||
| Germany | Draw | Netherlands |
19.61% ( -0.01) | 20.04% ( 0.09) | 60.36% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.29% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.21% ( -0.45) | 34.8% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.24% ( -0.5) | 56.76% ( 0.51) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% ( -0.28) | 30.94% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.77% ( -0.33) | 67.23% ( 0.33) |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.75% ( -0.15) | 11.25% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.17% ( -0.34) | 35.84% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Germany | Draw | Netherlands |
| 2-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.67% Total : 19.61% | 1-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.04% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.09)0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 7.1% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 6.05% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 3.88% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.81% Total : 60.36% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
