SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Denmark | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Finland | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | San Marino | 10 | -28 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Moldova | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 8 | -11 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 82.99%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 4.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.06%) and 1-0 (13.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.62%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Denmark in this match.
| Result | ||
| Denmark | Draw | Faroe Islands |
82.99% ( -0.55) | 12.6% ( 0.37) | 4.41% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 31.65% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.29% ( -0.79) | 43.71% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.89% ( -0.78) | 66.1% ( 0.78) |
| Denmark Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.92% ( -0.3) | 8.08% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.6% ( -0.77) | 28.4% ( 0.77) |
| Faroe Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 34.43% ( 0.23) | 65.57% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.75% ( 0.1) | 93.24% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Denmark | Draw | Faroe Islands |
| 2-0 @ 16.76% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 14.06% ( -0.15)1-0 @ 13.32% ( 0.26)4-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.23)2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.8% Total : 82.98% | 1-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 12.6% | 0-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.99% Total : 4.41% |
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