SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 8 | 26 | 22 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Greece | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | -41 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Greece had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Greece win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Germany | Draw | Greece |
42.07% ( -0.07) | 25.24% ( -0.01) | 32.69% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.09% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.53% ( 0.06) | 47.47% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.32% ( 0.05) | 69.68% ( -0.06) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% ( -0.01) | 22.48% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.96% ( -0.01) | 56.04% ( 0.01) |
| Greece Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% ( 0.08) | 27.64% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.82% ( 0.1) | 63.19% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Germany | Draw | Greece |
| 1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.07% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.69% |
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