Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Slovakia had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Slovakia win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
