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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Štadión Antona Malatinského
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Slovakia
2 - 2
Malta

Strelec (49'), Skriniar (53')
Duris (40'), Koscelnik (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gambin (16'), Satariano (20')
Camenzuli (23'), Bonello (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 61.53%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Malta had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
SlovakiaDrawMalta
61.53%22.99%15.48%
Both teams to score 43.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68%54.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29%75.71%
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73%17.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.4%47.6%
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.58%47.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.2%82.8%
Score Analysis
    Slovakia 61.52%
    Malta 15.48%
    Draw 22.99%
SlovakiaDrawMalta
1-0 @ 14.38%
2-0 @ 12.62%
2-1 @ 9.42%
3-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 5.52%
4-0 @ 3.25%
4-1 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 2.06%
5-0 @ 1.14%
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 61.52%
1-1 @ 10.73%
0-0 @ 8.19%
2-2 @ 3.52%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 22.99%
0-1 @ 6.11%
1-2 @ 4%
0-2 @ 2.28%
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 15.48%

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