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FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 30, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Kingsmeadow
D&

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 2
Dag & Red

Stevens (45+8')
Harbottle (37'), Bugiel (89'), Tilley (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morias (35'), Rees (79')
Rees (79'), Justham (84'), Woodhouse (88'), Umerah (90+2'), Rutherford (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Dag & Red 3-2 Aldershot
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in National League

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Dagenham & Redbridge

Due to the stakes and the potential of playing a Premier League side in the next round, expect this game to be a hard-fought affair. However, while Dagenham & Redbridge beat League Two opposition in the last round of the FA Cup, Wimbledon may prove too much for the mid-table National League side to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 23.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawDagenham & Redbridge
53.21% (0.994 0.99) 23.5% (-0.363 -0.36) 23.29% (-0.624 -0.62)
Both teams to score 54.71% (0.454 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.01% (0.951 0.95)45.99% (-0.943 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.7% (0.894 0.89)68.3% (-0.88799999999999 -0.89)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (0.724 0.72)17.24% (-0.717 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.46% (1.253 1.25)47.54% (-1.247 -1.25)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)33.89% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.44% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)70.56% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 53.21%
    Dagenham & Redbridge 23.29%
    Draw 23.5%
AFC WimbledonDrawDagenham & Redbridge
1-0 @ 10.27% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.03% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.168 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.29% (0.16 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.52% (0.13 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.33% (0.122 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 53.21%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.263 -0.26)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 23.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Tranmere 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Walsall
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Accrington
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-3 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Sunday, November 3 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Dag & Red 3-2 Aldershot
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Tamworth 2-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 3-4 Barnet
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boston 1-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Crewe 0-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Oldham 1-0 Dag & Red
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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