The hosts have had a largely positive start to the 2024-25 campaign, while the visitors are coming into this one in a great run of form, leading us to believe this one will end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Accrington Stanley
54.24% ( -1.33)	23.42% ( 0.59)	22.34% ( 0.74)

Both teams to score 53.77% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.33% (

-1.71)

46.67% (

1.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.06% (

-1.62)

68.94% (

1.62)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.89% (

-1.08)

17.11% (

1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.68% (

-1.94)

47.32% (

1.94)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.87% (

-0.26)

35.13% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.11% (

-0.27)

71.89% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 54.24%

Accrington Stanley 22.34%

Draw 23.42%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.85% Total : 54.24%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.42%	0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.06) Other @ 2% Total : 22.34%