Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.