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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
WH

Brentford
0 - 1
West Ham


Wissa (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Benrahma (79')
Dawson (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Liverpool
Monday, January 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 West Ham
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League

We said: Brentford 1-2 West Ham United

While Brentford are classed as the clear favourites for this fixture, the prospect of changes being made should lead to a tight contest. With that in mind, we feel that the Hammers may edge this game, earning a result which could buy Moyes some time in the dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawWest Ham United
31.68% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 24.39% (0.012 0.01) 43.93% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 58.6% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)44% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.61% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)66.39% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)26.59% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.19% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)61.81% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)20.17% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.54% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)52.46% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 31.68%
    West Ham United 43.93%
    Draw 24.39%
BrentfordDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 7.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.1% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.71% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.68%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.36% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 43.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Liverpool
Monday, January 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Brentford
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-2 Spurs
Monday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, December 17 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Man City 1-2 Brentford
Saturday, November 12 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Gillingham (5-6 pen.)
Tuesday, November 8 at 8.05pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 West Ham
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Brentford
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 West Ham
Monday, December 26 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 1-1 West Ham
Saturday, December 17 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cambridge 2-4 West Ham
Tuesday, December 6 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Leicester
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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